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Madison Keys vs Maria Camila Osorio Serrano Prediction, Head-to-Head, Odds & Pick - Matchstat.com

By Wojtek Kolan

At Matchstat.com we give you unbeatable in-depth analysis of past and current event tennis stats, to give you accurate tennis predictions, picks, odds and value bets. Let's dive in with our Keys vs Serrano analysis and find out who is favored!

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Up to 78% win accuracy on past h2h matches

Madison Keys vs Maria Camila Osorio Serrano Important H2H Prediction Stats:

Head-to-head: Keys 1 - 0 Serrano

  • Second serve performance recent form: In recent form (last 6 months), Keys has won 47.44% of points on his second serve, while Serrano has won 42.15%. There is a high correlation between this stat and match prediction accuracy.
  • Return game stats recent form: Return stats show Keys, in recent form, has won 54.78% of his opponent's second serve points, while Serrano has won 57.88%. The same stats for first serve returns are 34.96% and 42.1% respectively and this has a high correlation to pick who is favored in this H2H matchup.
  • Under pressure analysis: Keys has saved 57.85% of breakpoints in recent form, whereas Serrano has saved 50.22% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
  • Performance overview: Over the last year Keys has won 68.29% of matches played (W/L 28/ 13), with Serrano winning 60.38% (W/L 32/ 21) that gives us an overall head-to head prediction overview.
  • Best surface: Keys has their best career surface win % on Grass, winning 73% (W/L 46/ 17), and worse career win % on I.hard, winning 53% (W/L 17/ 15). Serrano has their best career surface win % on Clay, winning 71% (W/L 108/ 44), and worse career win % on Grass, winning 50% (W/L 8/ 8).
  • Player level: In the last year, Keys has played most of their matches on the Masters series, winning 57.89% of matches (W/L 11/ 8), where as Serrano has played most of their matches on the Main tour, winning 68.97% of matches (W/L 20/ 9). When comparing stats between players to predict the favorite, it is of course all relative to the event level they have been playing at.
  • Direct H2H matches: They have played 1 times before with Keys winning 1 times. They have played 3 sets in total, with Keys winning 2 and Serrano winning 1. The last match between Keys and Serrano was at the Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome, 09-05-2024, Second, Clay with Madison Keys getting the victory 6-0 4-6 6-3.
  • Head to head match duration: In past head to head matches, the average match time between these players has been 1:47:19.
  • Deciding set H2H prediction: Keys and Serrano have played a deciding set 1 times, with Keys winning 1 times and Serrano 0 times. Very useful for predicting the outcome if this match goes the distance.
  • Head-to-Head extreme pressure situations: They have played 0 tiebreaks against each other with Keys winning 0, and Serrano 0.
  • Opponent quality stats: Over the last 12 months, Keys has played against opponents with an average rank of 105.34 while Serrano has played against players with an average rank of 112.77.
  • Deciding set performance vs all players: If you are interested in live predictions and betting, if this match goes into a deciding set, Keys has won 67% of deciding sets over the last 12 months, while Serrano has won 65% in all matches played on tour.
  • Break point conversion: In recent form, Keys has converted 42.86% of breakpoint opportunities, and Serrano has converted 55.61% of their chances to break their opponents serve. A telling stat for in-game live betting tips when either player has a breakpoint opportunity.
bet365
Madison Keys

11

Total

1

Mast

2

Chall

0

Slam

7

Main

1

Minor

16

Rank

7

High

29

Age

R

Plays

1

Total

0

0

Hard

0

1

Clay

0

0

Indoor

0

0

Grass

0

77

Rank

33

High

22

Age

R

Plays

Maria Camila Osorio Serrano

5

Total

0

Mast

2

Chall

0

Slam

2

Main

1

Minor

1

Total

0

0

Hard

0

1

Clay

0

0

Indoor

0

0

Grass

0

L W W W W L W W W L

Form

W W W L W W W L W L

64% (370-212)

Career Total W/L

64% (191-108)

67% (10-5)

YTD W/L

65% (15-8)

$15,002,587

Career Prize Money

$1,178,832

0

YTD Titles

1

Currently displayed stats includes matches of all levels. To exclude lower level events (as per ATP / WTA official stats) toggle button in page footer.

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Keys VS Serrano H2H Stats Used In Our Predictions

stats Madison Keys Maria Camila Osorio Serrano
All H2H Matches 1 0
Sets Won 2 1
Games Won 16 9
Aces (Total) 3 2
DFs (Total) 4 5
Avg Match Time 1:47:19 1:47:19
1st Serve % 68% (45/66) 68% (65/96)
1st Serve Win% 69% (31/45) 55% (36/65)
2nd Serve Win% 48% (10/21) 35% (11/31)
BPs Won% (Total) 39% (7/18) 50% (3/6)
Return Points W% 51% (49/96) 38% (25/66)
Best of 3 Sets W% 100% (1/1) 0% (0/1)
Best of 5 Sets W% 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
TBs Win% (Total) 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Deciding Set Win% 100% (1/1) 0% (0/1)
1st set W, W 100% (1/1) 0% (0/0)
1st set W, L 0% (1/0) 0% (0/0)
1st set L, W 0% (0/0) 0% (1/0)

Keys VS Serrano H2h Matches played

Winning Player Losing Player Score
6-0 4-6 6-3
cross
Madison Keys
Player
Maria Camila Osorio Serrano
68% ( 45 of 66)
1st Serve %
68% ( 65 of 96)
3
Aces
2
4
Double Faults
5
69% ( 31 of 45)
1st Serve Won
55% ( 36 of 65)
48% ( 10 of 21)
2nd Serve Won
35% ( 11 of 31)
39% ( 7 of 18)
Break Points Won
50% ( 3 of 6)
38% ( 25 of 66)
Rtn Points Won
51% ( 49 of 96)
90
Total Points Won
72

Stats Breakdown Vs All H2H Opponents

stats Madison Keys Maria Camila Osorio Serrano
YTD W/L 67% (10/5) 65% (15/8)
Sets Win/Loss 58% (21/15) 60% (33/22)
Games Win/Loss 51% (175/166) 52% (264/247)
Hard Win/Loss 60% (3/2) 56% (5/4)
Clay Win/Loss 70% (7/3) 75% (9/3)
Indoor Hard W/L 0% (0/0) 50% (1/1)
Grass Win/Loss 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Aces pg 0.34 0.07
Aces Total 56 17
DFs per game 0.2 0.46
DFs Total 33 114
Avg Match Time 1:43:11 1:42:22
Avg Opp Rank 105.53 97.13
1st Serve % 65% (716/1106) 66% (1080/1647)
1st Serve W% 65% (463/716) 60% (647/1080)
2nd Serve W% 47% (185/390) 42% (239/567)
BPs Won% Total 43% (54/126) 56% (114/205)
Return Pts W% 43% (478/1124) 48% (778/1622)
Slam W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/1)
Masters W/L 71% (10/4) 50% (3/3)
Cups W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Main Tour W/L 0% (0/1) 75% (9/3)
Tour Finals W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Challenger W/L 0% (0/0) 75% (3/1)
Futures W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Best of 3 Sets W% 67% (10/15) 64% (14/22)
Best of 5 Sets W% 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
TBs Win% (Total) 100% (5/5) 86% (6/7)
Deciding Set W% 83% (5/6) 60% (6/10)
1st set W, W 90% (10/9) 92% (12/11)
1st set W, L 10% (10/1) 8% (12/1)
1st set L, W 20% (5/1) 36% (11/4)

Madison Keys Recent Matches Played

opponent Result Score H2H
QF
cross
Iga Swiatek
Player
Madison Keys
75% ( 48 of 64)
1st Serve %
56% ( 23 of 41)
1
Aces
2
1
Double Faults
3
71% ( 34 of 48)
1st Serve Won
61% ( 14 of 23)
56% ( 9 of 16)
2nd Serve Won
44% ( 8 of 18)
67% ( 4 of 6)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 10)
33% ( 21 of 64)
Rtn Points Won
46% ( 19 of 41)
62
Total Points Won
43
L
6-1 6-3 H2H
R4
cross
Madison Keys
Player
Sorana Cirstea
73% ( 35 of 48)
1st Serve %
62% ( 28 of 45)
5
Aces
1
0
Double Faults
3
71% ( 25 of 35)
1st Serve Won
50% ( 14 of 28)
54% ( 7 of 13)
2nd Serve Won
29% ( 5 of 17)
83% ( 5 of 6)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 2)
33% ( 16 of 48)
Rtn Points Won
58% ( 26 of 45)
58
Total Points Won
35
W
6-2 6-1 H2H
R3
cross
Madison Keys
Player
Beatriz Haddad Maia
55% ( 42 of 76)
1st Serve %
61% ( 62 of 102)
3
Aces
1
3
Double Faults
3
67% ( 28 of 42)
1st Serve Won
56% ( 35 of 62)
44% ( 15 of 34)
2nd Serve Won
45% ( 18 of 40)
54% ( 7 of 13)
Break Points Won
83% ( 5 of 6)
43% ( 33 of 76)
Rtn Points Won
48% ( 49 of 102)
92
Total Points Won
86
W
6-4 4-6 6-3 H2H
R2
cross
Madison Keys
Player
Maria Camila Osorio Serrano
68% ( 45 of 66)
1st Serve %
68% ( 65 of 96)
3
Aces
2
4
Double Faults
5
69% ( 31 of 45)
1st Serve Won
55% ( 36 of 65)
48% ( 10 of 21)
2nd Serve Won
35% ( 11 of 31)
39% ( 7 of 18)
Break Points Won
50% ( 3 of 6)
38% ( 25 of 66)
Rtn Points Won
51% ( 49 of 96)
90
Total Points Won
72
W
6-0 4-6 6-3 H2H
SF
cross
Iga Swiatek
Player
Madison Keys
72% ( 36 of 50)
1st Serve %
62% ( 28 of 45)
0
Aces
5
0
Double Faults
0
69% ( 25 of 36)
1st Serve Won
54% ( 15 of 28)
79% ( 11 of 14)
2nd Serve Won
35% ( 6 of 17)
80% ( 4 of 5)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 3)
28% ( 14 of 50)
Rtn Points Won
53% ( 24 of 45)
60
Total Points Won
35
L
6-1 6-3 H2H
QF
cross
Madison Keys
Player
Ons Jabeur
65% ( 53 of 82)
1st Serve %
62% ( 39 of 63)
3
Aces
3
3
Double Faults
0
62% ( 33 of 53)
1st Serve Won
72% ( 28 of 39)
59% ( 17 of 29)
2nd Serve Won
46% ( 11 of 24)
57% ( 4 of 7)
Break Points Won
57% ( 4 of 7)
39% ( 32 of 82)
Rtn Points Won
38% ( 24 of 63)
74
Total Points Won
71
W
0-6 7-5 6-1 H2H
R4
cross
Madison Keys
Player
Cori Gauff
64% ( 77 of 121)
1st Serve %
52% ( 55 of 105)
1
Aces
1
2
Double Faults
13
58% ( 45 of 77)
1st Serve Won
67% ( 37 of 55)
41% ( 18 of 44)
2nd Serve Won
40% ( 20 of 50)
50% ( 7 of 14)
Break Points Won
47% ( 7 of 15)
48% ( 58 of 121)
Rtn Points Won
46% ( 48 of 105)
111
Total Points Won
115
W
7-6(4) 4-6 6-4 H2H
R3
cross
Madison Keys
Player
Liudmila Samsonova
70% ( 37 of 53)
1st Serve %
65% ( 37 of 57)
7
Aces
7
0
Double Faults
2
78% ( 29 of 37)
1st Serve Won
65% ( 24 of 37)
56% ( 9 of 16)
2nd Serve Won
25% ( 5 of 20)
67% ( 4 of 6)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 4)
28% ( 15 of 53)
Rtn Points Won
49% ( 28 of 57)
66
Total Points Won
44
W
6-2 6-3 H2H
R2
cross
Madison Keys
Player
Irina-Camelia Begu
68% ( 67 of 98)
1st Serve %
69% ( 58 of 84)
3
Aces
0
2
Double Faults
4
67% ( 45 of 67)
1st Serve Won
64% ( 37 of 58)
42% ( 13 of 31)
2nd Serve Won
46% ( 12 of 26)
43% ( 3 of 7)
Break Points Won
23% ( 3 of 13)
41% ( 40 of 98)
Rtn Points Won
42% ( 35 of 84)
93
Total Points Won
89
W
7-6(3) 7-6(6) H2H
R2
cross
Jaqueline Cristian
Player
Madison Keys
52% ( 45 of 86)
1st Serve %
66% ( 56 of 85)
0
Aces
8
5
Double Faults
4
67% ( 30 of 45)
1st Serve Won
59% ( 33 of 56)
49% ( 20 of 41)
2nd Serve Won
48% ( 14 of 29)
40% ( 6 of 15)
Break Points Won
50% ( 4 of 8)
42% ( 36 of 86)
Rtn Points Won
45% ( 38 of 85)
88
Total Points Won
83
L
3-6 6-3 6-3 H2H

Maria Camila Osorio Serrano Recent Matches Played

opponent Result Score H2H
R2
cross
Madison Keys
Player
Maria Camila Osorio Serrano
68% ( 45 of 66)
1st Serve %
68% ( 65 of 96)
3
Aces
2
4
Double Faults
5
69% ( 31 of 45)
1st Serve Won
55% ( 36 of 65)
48% ( 10 of 21)
2nd Serve Won
35% ( 11 of 31)
39% ( 7 of 18)
Break Points Won
50% ( 3 of 6)
38% ( 25 of 66)
Rtn Points Won
51% ( 49 of 96)
90
Total Points Won
72
L
6-0 4-6 6-3 H2H
R1
cross
Maria Camila Osorio Serrano
Player
Arantxa Rus
67% ( 64 of 95)
1st Serve %
62% ( 62 of 100)
0
Aces
1
9
Double Faults
5
55% ( 35 of 64)
1st Serve Won
58% ( 36 of 62)
42% ( 13 of 31)
2nd Serve Won
32% ( 12 of 38)
67% ( 8 of 12)
Break Points Won
50% ( 6 of 12)
49% ( 47 of 95)
Rtn Points Won
52% ( 52 of 100)
100
Total Points Won
95
W
4-6 6-3 6-4 H2H
SF
cross
Katerina Siniakova
Player
Maria Camila Osorio Serrano
62% ( 42 of 68)
1st Serve %
71% ( 41 of 58)
0
Aces
0
1
Double Faults
5
57% ( 24 of 42)
1st Serve Won
41% ( 17 of 41)
38% ( 10 of 26)
2nd Serve Won
29% ( 5 of 17)
53% ( 8 of 15)
Break Points Won
63% ( 5 of 8)
50% ( 34 of 68)
Rtn Points Won
62% ( 36 of 58)
70
Total Points Won
56
L
6-3 6-4 H2H
QF
cross
Maria Camila Osorio Serrano
Player
Magdalena Frech
69% ( 87 of 126)
1st Serve %
68% ( 79 of 117)
0
Aces
3
5
Double Faults
1
55% ( 48 of 87)
1st Serve Won
54% ( 43 of 79)
49% ( 19 of 39)
2nd Serve Won
55% ( 21 of 38)
54% ( 7 of 13)
Break Points Won
57% ( 8 of 14)
47% ( 59 of 126)
Rtn Points Won
45% ( 53 of 117)
120
Total Points Won
123
W
4-6 7-6(8) 7-6(4) H2H
R2
cross
Maria Camila Osorio Serrano
Player
Lucija Ciric Bagaric
62% ( 48 of 77)
1st Serve %
72% ( 49 of 68)
0
Aces
0
6
Double Faults
4
52% ( 25 of 48)
1st Serve Won
43% ( 21 of 49)
45% ( 13 of 29)
2nd Serve Won
26% ( 5 of 19)
62% ( 8 of 13)
Break Points Won
36% ( 5 of 14)
51% ( 39 of 77)
Rtn Points Won
62% ( 42 of 68)
80
Total Points Won
65
W
6-0 1-6 6-1 H2H
R1
cross
Maria Camila Osorio Serrano
Player
Mirjam Bjorklund
68% ( 17 of 25)
1st Serve %
50% ( 7 of 14)
0
Aces
0
1
Double Faults
3
71% ( 12 of 17)
1st Serve Won
14% ( 1 of 7)
38% ( 3 of 8)
2nd Serve Won
43% ( 3 of 7)
67% ( 2 of 3)
Break Points Won
50% ( 1 of 2)
40% ( 10 of 25)
Rtn Points Won
71% ( 10 of 14)
25
Total Points Won
14
W
4-1 ret. H2H
Q1
cross
Olga Danilovic
Player
Maria Camila Osorio Serrano
62% ( 43 of 69)
1st Serve %
73% ( 44 of 60)
2
Aces
0
6
Double Faults
4
65% ( 28 of 43)
1st Serve Won
50% ( 22 of 44)
54% ( 14 of 26)
2nd Serve Won
50% ( 8 of 16)
56% ( 5 of 9)
Break Points Won
75% ( 3 of 4)
39% ( 27 of 69)
Rtn Points Won
50% ( 30 of 60)
72
Total Points Won
57
L
6-3 7-5 H2H
F
cross
Maria Camila Osorio Serrano
Player
Marie Bouzkova
62% ( 48 of 78)
1st Serve %
63% ( 45 of 71)
0
Aces
1
7
Double Faults
6
69% ( 33 of 48)
1st Serve Won
60% ( 27 of 45)
43% ( 13 of 30)
2nd Serve Won
42% ( 11 of 26)
50% ( 4 of 8)
Break Points Won
33% ( 3 of 9)
41% ( 32 of 78)
Rtn Points Won
46% ( 33 of 71)
79
Total Points Won
70
W
6-3 7-6(5) H2H
SF
cross
Maria Camila Osorio Serrano
Player
Sara Errani
68% ( 49 of 72)
1st Serve %
84% ( 69 of 82)
1
Aces
0
4
Double Faults
1
61% ( 30 of 49)
1st Serve Won
51% ( 35 of 69)
48% ( 11 of 23)
2nd Serve Won
54% ( 7 of 13)
50% ( 5 of 10)
Break Points Won
50% ( 4 of 8)
43% ( 31 of 72)
Rtn Points Won
49% ( 40 of 82)
81
Total Points Won
73
W
7-6(4) 6-4 H2H
QF
cross
Maria Camila Osorio Serrano
Player
Tatjana Maria
65% ( 51 of 78)
1st Serve %
54% ( 45 of 83)
0
Aces
1
3
Double Faults
5
61% ( 31 of 51)
1st Serve Won
49% ( 22 of 45)
33% ( 9 of 27)
2nd Serve Won
45% ( 17 of 38)
54% ( 7 of 13)
Break Points Won
54% ( 7 of 13)
49% ( 38 of 78)
Rtn Points Won
53% ( 44 of 83)
84
Total Points Won
77
W
1-6 6-3 6-3 H2H

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